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Friday, November 6, 2026Nov 6, 2026 · morning edition

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Midterm wins for Democrats rattle AI data-center stocks

Dell and other server makers sank on Nov. 4 as investors weighed what a Democratic Congress, and a Texas governor who campaigned on a data-center moratorium, could mean for the AI buildout.

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8 moves
Michael DellPolicyAI & techDELLAI read · ▼ Election results repriced data-center risk

Dell drops 8.3% as midterms raise data-center doubts

The move

Dell Technologies shares fell 8.31% on Nov. 4, TipRanks reported, after Democrats won control of the House and Senate in the Nov. 3 midterm elections. TipRanks said the result threatens political support for the AI data centers that buy Dell's servers, pointing to incoming Texas governor Gina Hinojosa, who campaigned on halting new data-center projects until more rules are in place. Reuters separately reported that data-center and chip stocks broadly fell that day on worries about tighter AI oversight under a Democratic Congress, even as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher.

Why it matters

Dell's AI server business now drives most of its growth, so investors are pricing in the risk that a less AI-friendly Congress, plus state-level pushback like Texas's proposed moratorium, could slow the data-center spending behind it.

The bear case

Even after the drop, TipRanks said Dell was still up 219.56% year-to-date, so the pullback erased only a small share of 2026's gains.

What to watch

Whether other states follow Texas's proposed moratorium on new data-center construction.

Jensen HuangPolicyAI & techNVDAAI read · — A reputational, not yet financial, headache

Nvidia's Huang asked to brief Congress on China ties

The move

Three House Republican committee chairs — Brian Mast, John Moolenaar and Rick Crawford — asked Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang in a Nov. 4 letter to attend a closed-door briefing on Nov. 18, CNBC reported. They cited reporting by The New York Times that U.S. intelligence determined a Chinese citizen and Megaspeed executive, Alice Huang, had passed information to Beijing, and that Jensen Huang had developed a close relationship with her. Nvidia told CNBC that such customer contacts are routine for a CEO and that it shares no sensitive trade secrets with regional cloud customers.

Why it matters

The scrutiny lands days before Nvidia's Nov. 17 earnings and adds a national-security angle to the AI-chip story, even though Nvidia disputes any wrongdoing.

The bear case

The committee chairs' letter does not name its underlying evidence, and Nvidia says the government would alert it if it believed any individual posed a real threat.

What to watch

Whether Huang attends the Nov. 18 briefing and what, if anything, becomes public afterward.

Charles Koch & familyAcquisitionAI & techMRVLAI read · ▼ Biggest tech merger of the year, messy market reaction

Marvell's $115 billion Lumentum deal spooks investors

The move

Marvell Technology agreed on Nov. 2 to buy optical-component maker Lumentum Holdings in an all-stock deal with an implied enterprise value of $115 billion, the companies said in a joint press release. Lumentum holders will get a fixed 4.5 Marvell shares each, a 23.9% premium to the Oct. 28 unaffected price; Marvell holders will own about 67% of the combined company and Lumentum holders about 33%, with closing expected in the first half of 2028. Koch, Inc., the holding company run by Charles Koch, has reported owning Marvell shares in its 13F filings.

Why it matters

Marvell's release cites a $550 billion addressable market and more than $1 billion in annual cost synergies, but Bank of America cut Marvell to Neutral from Buy and its price target to $225 from $400, citing possible selling pressure from the roughly 50% increase in Marvell's share count, financial news site goldesel.de reported.

The bear case

Marvell says the deal should add to its non-GAAP earnings per share in the first year after closing, but the transaction still needs shareholder and regulatory approval, and BofA flagged that a long review could extend the stock overhang.

What to watch

Shareholder and regulatory approval for the deal, expected to close in the first half of 2028.

Source · Lumentum Holdings Form 8-K press releaseRead original ↗Report an error
Lisa SuEarningsAI & techAMDAI read · ▲ Record quarter, big guide

AMD's data-center revenue nearly doubles in record quarter

The move

AMD reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $13.4 billion, up 45% year over year, in a Nov. 3 earnings release. Data Center segment revenue hit a record $8.5 billion, up 97% year over year, while non-GAAP diluted EPS was $2.09, up 74%. Client and Gaming revenue fell 8% to $3.7 billion, and Embedded revenue rose 29% to $1.1 billion. Management guided to about $17 billion in fourth-quarter revenue, plus or minus 3%.

Why it matters

AI chip demand for AMD's Instinct and EPYC lines is now outgrowing its legacy PC and gaming business, reinforcing AMD's position as a second major supplier alongside Nvidia.

The bear case

Client and Gaming revenue declined, showing AMD's growth is increasingly concentrated in one segment.

What to watch

Fourth-quarter 2026 results, expected early 2027, against the roughly $17 billion guide.

Source · AMD Q3 2026 earnings releaseRead original ↗Report an error
Mukesh AmbaniEarningsOtherRELIANCE.NSAI read · ▲ A real beat, not just a bounce

Reliance stock jumps 11.6% on record quarterly profit

The move

Reliance Industries shares rose 11.60% to close at 1,300 rupees on the NSE on Nov. 2, its biggest single-day gain since April 2020, Business Today reported. Consolidated net profit for the July-September quarter rose 40.64% year over year to 25,548 crore rupees, and revenue rose 28.57% to 3,32,861 crore rupees. Telecom unit Jio Platforms reported revenue of 47,485 crore rupees, up 11.3%, with 542.4 million subscribers.

Why it matters

The rally pushed Reliance's market value to nearly 17.6 lakh crore rupees and reinforced Ambani's position among Asia's richest people.

The bear case

A single record quarter doesn't guarantee the growth rate holds, and part of the profit jump reflects an easier year-ago comparison.

What to watch

Reliance's board-approved plan to raise up to 15,000 crore rupees via debentures, and Jio's long-delayed IPO.

Source · Business TodayRead original ↗Report an error
Brian CheskyEarningsAI & techABNBAI read · ▲ Growth mode, and the market liked it

Airbnb's fastest growth in years, plus a $12B buyback

The move

Airbnb reported third-quarter revenue of $4.869 billion, up 19% year over year, with gross booking value up 21% to $27.7 billion and nights and seats booked up 16% to 155 million, in its Nov. 4 earnings release. Net income was $1.89 billion. The board authorized an additional $12 billion in share buybacks, on top of $2.7 billion left from the prior program.

Why it matters

CEO Brian Chesky called it a return to "growth mode" and the company raised its full-year guidance to high-teens revenue growth and about 36% adjusted EBITDA margin.

The bear case

A one-time $135 million tax benefit lifted net income this quarter, which flatters the headline profit number.

What to watch

Airbnb's guest-facing AI travel agent, planned for the first half of 2027.

Source · Airbnb Q3 2026 earnings release (SEC Form 8-K)Read original ↗Report an error
Dara KhosrowshahiEarningsAI & techUBERAI read · ▲ Revenue beat, profit missed, stock still rose

Uber beats on revenue as driver supply gets tight

The move

Uber reported third-quarter revenue of $14.77 billion, above the $14.69 billion analysts expected, but adjusted earnings of 25 cents a share missed the 96-cent estimate, CNBC reported on Nov. 4. Mobility revenue fell 2% to $7.52 billion, below estimates, while freight revenue rose 34% to $1.76 billion, beating estimates. Shares rose more than 7% that day.

Why it matters

CEO Dara Khosrowshahi said elevated fuel prices and tighter driver availability weighed on supply growth in several international markets, and Uber is investing to add drivers in India, Brazil and the U.S.

The bear case

Net income fell 92% from a year earlier, though the prior year included a large one-time tax benefit that makes the comparison hard to read either way.

What to watch

Whether driver supply loosens in the fourth quarter as Uber's investment takes effect.

Greg BrockmanIPO / MarketsAI & techPrivateAI read · — A public OpenAI is getting closer

OpenAI president says it could be ready to go public in 2027

The move

OpenAI President Greg Brockman said at a Wall Street Journal tech conference in Napa, California on Nov. 4 that the company could be ready for an IPO in 2027 and that enterprise sales now make up the majority of its revenue, Reuters reported.

Why it matters

A listing would be one of the largest tech IPOs ever and would give outside investors their first direct stake in OpenAI.

The bear case

Brockman set no firm date, and OpenAI has pushed back its IPO timeline before.

What to watch

Whether OpenAI sets a formal listing date in 2027.

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